Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 29.586884 34.116188 39.023119 44.723455 51.152193 58.166577 66.387691
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.977798 28.257726 35.721199 45.192369 56.833014 70.610661 88.084248
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 17.427307 24.452146 33.436538 45.648381 61.674360 81.832947 108.927408
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 13.316087 20.192183 29.572744 43.104429 61.882909 86.742759 121.803349
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 11.538086 18.673655 28.944856 44.502016 67.090070 98.240885 143.878681
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.404705 17.841099 29.062994 46.797119 73.567754 111.794950 169.630023
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.714984 15.846182 27.131688 45.736783 74.921006 118.037149 185.334315
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.146866 13.772305 24.759335 43.633198 74.353898 121.238573 196.611371
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.746480 13.616937 25.439810 46.415481 81.552516 136.537824 226.956845
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.607770 13.898220 26.861447 50.521218 91.159862 156.150118 265.126497
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.968487 13.143459 26.372431 51.280828 95.249855 167.241361 290.525359
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.304390 12.233856 25.482260 51.210422 97.866868 176.040660 312.685573
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.536738 11.033948 23.980662 50.017383 98.682751 182.345820 331.949070
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.995354 10.229119 23.154089 50.026192 101.707168 192.722056 358.959053
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.564081 9.589392 22.567680 50.418912 105.447457 204.576342 389.255589
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.919661 8.327828 20.506834 47.618179 102.869232 205.001244 399.598484
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.705069 8.067643 20.558351 49.140368 108.750505 221.070832 438.659802
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.580190 8.012367 21.055293 51.645297 116.767315 241.569288 486.896511
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.230469 7.293011 19.925780 50.487540 117.243868 247.904399 509.443926
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.865330 6.449813 18.373468 48.190270 115.116757 249.050545 522.279501
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.824217 6.535757 19.114437 51.228443 124.544144 273.297014 580.335314
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.850662 6.830495 20.417950 55.708604 137.411637 305.067804 654.465758
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.702319 6.554415 20.207519 56.537093 142.310932 321.122951 698.789541